CONFLICTS/SUDAN CIVIL WAR
ACTIVEAfrica

SUDAN CIVIL WAR

STARTED APRIL 15, 2023
DURATION: 2 YEARS, 11 MONTHS
2 PARTIES
SIDE A
No parties listed
SIDE B
No parties listed
ESTIMATED CASUALTIES
20,000+ killed; 10 million+ displaced (world largest displacement crisis 2024-2025)
TERRITORIAL CONTROL
RSF controls Khartoum, Darfur, Kordofan; SAF holds Port Sudan, Kassala, northern cities
CLASSIFIED
INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING — SUDAN CIVIL WAR
WARDATALAB.AI // 2026-03-13
INTEL // AFRICA // ACTIVE
REF: SUDAN-CIVIL-WAR
SITUATION OVERVIEW

Sudan's catastrophic civil war erupted April 15, 2023, when months of simmering tensions between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) paramilitary boiled into open warfare in Khartoum and across the country simultaneously. The conflict stems from a power struggle between SAF commander General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and RSF commander General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo ("Hemeti") over the terms of integrating the RSF — a force of approximately 100,000 paramilitaries — into the regular army as required by the 2021 political framework agreement.

The RSF had its origins in the notorious Janjaweed militias that committed genocide in Darfur in the 2000s. The RSF's refusal to integrate into the SAF under SAF command led to the April 2023 outbreak. Within days, the RSF seized the presidential palace, Khartoum International Airport, and large portions of the capital — but could not decisively defeat the better-equipped SAF which retained control of air power and strategic facilities.

The war rapidly devolved into one of the world's worst humanitarian catastrophes. Fighting spread from Khartoum to Darfur — where RSF and allied Arab militias recreated genocide conditions against non-Arab communities in cities including El Fasher, Nyala, and Zalingei — to Kordofan and other regions. The RSF's brutal tactics, including mass rape as a weapon of war, summary executions, and ethnic targeting, prompted the UN to investigate crimes against humanity. By 2024, Sudan surpassed Ukraine and Syria as the world's largest internal displacement crisis.

KEY EVENTS & TIMELINE
Apr 15, 2023Fighting erupts simultaneously in Khartoum, Darfur, and Kordofan; RSF attacks SAF positions
Apr 2023RSF seizes presidential palace and multiple Khartoum districts; SAF retains air superiority
May 2023International evacuation of foreign nationals from Khartoum; 100,000 flee to Egypt and Chad
Jun 2023RSF captures El Genaina in West Darfur; mass killings of non-Arab communities documented
Aug 2023Jeddah peace talks collapse; US/Saudi mediation fails; fighting continues across Sudan
Oct 2023SAF launches major offensive in Khartoum; RSF maintains control of residential districts
Jan 2024UN reports 8 million displaced; 25 million facing acute food insecurity — world's largest hunger crisis
Apr 2024RSF advances on El Fasher in North Darfur; UN warns of "textbook genocide" in Darfur
Jun 2024SAF recaptures Omdurman residential areas north of Khartoum; street-by-street combat
Sep 2024RSF controls 70% of Khartoum and most of Darfur; SAF launches airstrikes destroying urban infrastructure
Dec 2024Cholera, measles, and malaria outbreaks overwhelm collapsed healthcare system; famine declared in 5 areas
STRATEGIC SIGNIFICANCE

Sudan sits at the intersection of the Nile River politics (critical for Egypt), Sahel instability (connecting to Libya and Chad), and Red Sea access (Port Sudan remains Sudan's sole functioning port). The RSF receives support from the UAE — critical for its gold economy connections — while the SAF receives drones and munitions from Iran and Egypt. Russia's Africa Corps has provided SAF with air defense systems. The gold corridor from Sudan through Libya to Gulf states and Europe generates an estimated $2 billion annually, fueling RSF operations. Sudan borders seven countries; instability spreads refugees into Chad (600,000+), Egypt (500,000+), South Sudan (300,000+), and Ethiopia.

FORCES & CAPABILITIES

SAF deploys approximately 100,000 troops with Soviet/Chinese-era armor including T-72 tanks and BMP-1/2 IFVs, MiG-29 and Su-25 fighters for air superiority that RSF lacks entirely, Chinese WS-2 MLRS, and Bayraktar TB2 drones from Turkey. RSF operates 100,000+ fighters with Toyota Hilux technicals armed with heavy machine guns, shoulder-fired anti-air missiles, and captured SAF armor. UAE-supplied Calidus B-250 aircraft have provided RSF limited close air support capability.

CURRENT STATUS

As of early 2025, Sudan has effectively divided into two zones of control with no functioning national government. Port Sudan in the east remains SAF-controlled and serves as the de facto capital. The RSF controls most of Darfur, large portions of Khartoum, and key road networks. The UN declares the situation Sudan's worst humanitarian emergency since independence: 10 million displaced, 25 million food insecure, healthcare collapsed in 70% of facilities. There is no realistic ceasefire in sight.

WARDATALAB INTELLIGENCE PLATFORM — ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDLAST UPDATED: 2026-03-13
MILITARY ANALYSIS

COMPARE MILITARY STRENGTH

Head-to-head comparison of the parties' military capabilities — troops, hardware, budget, and power index.

Compare Parties