A ceasefire brokered by Qatar and Egypt took effect January 2025 in phases, with the first phase including hostage-prisoner exchanges. However, the underlying conflict remains unresolved: Hamas governance in Gaza, Israel's demand for Hamas destruction, and Palestinian civilian reconstruction needs remain fundamentally contested. Hezbollah agreed to a Lebanon ceasefire in November 2024 but tensions persist on the northern border. The regional proxy network — Yemen Houthis, Iraqi militias, Syrian remnants — remains largely intact and threatening.
Control / territory
Gaza Strip (365 sq km); southern Lebanon; Red Sea (Houthi proxy attacks)